The nationwide telephone poll was conducted Oct. 21-25 on cellphones and landlines with 575 Republican primary voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 6 percentage points for each candidate.
Both results are within the poll's margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. But it is the first time Mr. Romney has shown a numeric edge in the Times/CBS poll since he emerged from the primaries as the presumptive nominee. Mr. Obama had a three-point advantage in March. The two were each favored by 46 percent in April.
Nearly two-thirds of Brazilians - 63 percent - think hosting the Olympics will hurt the country, according to a recent survey by the polling company 16 percent said they were enthusiastic about the games, while 51 percent said they had no interest in them. (The poll, conducted on July 14-15 in interviews with 2,792 people, had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.)
The nationwide telephone poll was conducted Nov. 6 to 10 on cellphones and landlines with 418 Democratic primary voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus six percentage points. Additional findings from the full poll will be published on Thursday at 6:30 p.m.
A surge of support for the movement after the police fired tear gas on the protesters in late September has faded. A poll conducted by the University of Hong Kong and released in mid-November found that almost 55 percent of people surveyed opposed Occupy Central and that more than four in five wanted the demonstrations to end. The poll of 513 people was conducted Nov. 17 to 18 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
In Florida, the overall race has narrowed considerably from a month ago, with Mr. Obama now the choice of 48 percent to 47 percent for Mr. Romney. In Virginia, Mr. Obama has 49 percent, with 47 percent for Mr. Romney. The results in each state have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.
A nationwide poll of likely voters from The New York Times and CBS News, which was released Tuesday evening, found that more voters now view Mr. Romney as a stronger leader on the economy and Mr. Obama as a better guardian of the middle class. The president was the choice of 48 percent, with 47 percent for Mr. Romney. The poll had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.
Crucially, Mrs. Kirchner's popularity is on the rise. Her approval rating at the end of May was 40 percent, according to Management and Fit, a Buenos Aires polling company, up from 30 percent in February, when she was in the depths of a political crisis after the mysterious death of a federal prosecutor. The poll included interviews with 2,400 people nationwide and the margin of sampling error was 2 percentage points. Even if Mr. Scioli has won Mrs. Kirchner's endorsement, it may prove a Pyrrhic victory, analysts said, because it could hurt him among voters who want change. Mr. Scioli had already successfully courted some of those voters on his own.
关键是,基什内尔夫人的人气不断上升。一家叫做管理与匹配(Management and Fit)的布宜诺斯艾利斯民调公司的数据显示,她的支持率在5月底是40%,在2月份,基什内尔夫人的支持率为30%,当时她在一名联邦调查官神秘死亡后身陷政治危机。调查在全国范围内对2400人进行采访,抽样误差为两个百分点。但即便肖利先生赢得了基什内尔夫人的认可,他也有可能得不偿失,分析家说,因为这可能让他失去那些想要有所改变的选民。肖利自己本已成功地赢得了一部分这样的选民的支持。
The survey has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four to five percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level. The Index and its accompanying reports do not represent MasterCard's financial performance. MasterCard and its Suite of Research Properties
The poll, conducted on a rolling basis since late April by the University of Hong Kong, Polytechnic University and the Chinese University of Hong Kong, includes about 1,000 respondents and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.
For the first time since The Times and CBS News began testing candidate preferences in July, the retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has displaced Donald J. Trump as the leader of the large Republican field, although the difference is well within the poll's margin of sampling error. The churn in the field suggests more volatility as the contest draws closer to the primaries early next year.
自今年7月,时报和CBS新闻开始就候选人偏好进行民调以来,退休神经外科医生本·卡森(Ben Carson)首次取代唐纳德·J·特朗普(Donald J. Trump),在广大共和党选民的意见中处于领先地位,不过两人支持率上的差距完全在民调的抽样误差范围内。这一转变显示出,随着明年年初的党内初选日益接近,选情将愈发多变。
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